It has been an interesting few months since Donald Trump took over the White House, and every day, you have no idea what is going to come out in the news cycle. That means that there are odds on the different scenarios that could happen in the White House, and here is a look at the top three.
NOT to be re-elected as President
This scenario is the most likely as of right now as President Trump’s approval is the lowest that it has ever been. After about 200 days in the White House, President Trump’s approval rating is at 32%, and 59% of Americans polled say that they disapprove of what he is doing. It could be any number of things that Americans disapprove of, whether it is his attempts to repeal ObamaCare, the health-care system that was set up by previous President Barack Obama. It could be everything that is going on in the White House, in that press secretaries and other positions around the President are getting fired every week, it seems. It could be the ties to Russia that those in high levels in agencies like the FBI have linked the President and those in his cabinet to. And then there is the recent war of words with North Korea, which feels like it could turn into a literal at any given second. This might be the most interesting prop bet to keep an eye on because if things get worse (and remember, we’re just 200 days into his administration), these odds could plummet.
To Serve Full 1st Term
The same can be said for this prop bet as 2020 seems like a long time away. Ten other Presidents have failed to serve a full term, and those Presidents either died or were serving the rest of another President’s term. So the odds are good that President Trump can make it through a full term. Right?
To Leave Office Via Impeachment Or Resignation Before End Of 1st Term
This is where it gets intriguing. Only two Presidents have been impeached, Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton, and neither were convicted of their charges. Only one has resigned, and that was famously, Richard Nixon. Presidents are allowed to get away with a lot, so that is in President Trump’s favor, but it doesn’t bode well that so much has gone on in such a short period of time. Usually, it is one or two things, or one big thing that keeps building and building, that can sink a President. But the current President can’t seem to keep the same people working under him, and again, there is the whole Russia thing…..and now, the North Korea thing. His numbers are falling among Republicans (from 83% in July to 71%), while 65% feel that his campaign colluded with Russia. In June, 65% of people polled thought it was premature to talk about impeachment; now, in August, that number is 50%. Now might be the time to put some money on this.
Trump Presidency Betting Odds
Taking a look at the betting odds up at Play Shangri La, the favorite right now is for him to serve out his first term and not be re-elected. His approval ratings are down and the Democratic Party doesn’t have a quality candidate as of now, but the favorite in this prop is he finishes his first time.
The payout for him to get ousted in 2017 or 2018 is 6.00, respectively, and 9.00 in 2019. Of course, there is the chance that he gets re-elected in 2020 and the price for that is 17.00
To see the full list of Trump Presidency betting odds, visit Play Shangrila!
